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Dongosolo lochenjeza za nthawi yeniyeni lingathe kuteteza anthu omwe ali pachiwopsezo ku kusefukira kwa madzi

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SMART convergence research approach kuti awonetsetse kuphatikizidwa pakupanga kuwunika ndi kuchenjeza kuti apereke zidziwitso zochenjeza mwachangu kuti achepetse ngozi.Ngongole: Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences (2023).DOI: 10.5194/nhess-23-667-2023

Kuchita nawo midzi popanga ndondomeko yochenjeza nthawi yeniyeni kungathandize kuchepetsa chiwonongeko chowononga nthawi zambiri cha kusefukira kwa madzi kwa anthu ndi katundu-makamaka m'madera amapiri kumene zochitika zamadzi kwambiri zimakhala vuto "loipa", kafukufuku watsopano akuwonetsa.

Madzi osefukira akuchulukirachulukira komanso akuwononga miyoyo ndi katundu wa anthu omwe ali pachiwopsezo, koma ochita kafukufuku amakhulupirira kuti kugwiritsa ntchito njira ya SMART (onani chithunzi pamwambapa) kuti mugwirizane ndi omwe akukhala m'malo oterowo kumathandizira kuwonetsa bwino zomwe zikubwera kuchokera kusefukira kwamadzi.

Asayansi akukhulupirira kuti kuphatikiza zidziwitso zakuthambo ndi chidziwitso cha momwe anthu amakhalira ndikugwira ntchito m'madera oterowo, zidzathandiza oyang'anira masoka, akatswiri amadzimadzi, ndi mainjiniya kupanga njira zabwino zokweza alamu kusefukira kwamadzi kusanachitike.

Pofalitsa zomwe apeza mu Natural Hazards ndi Earth System Sciences, gulu la kafukufuku wapadziko lonse lapansi lotsogozedwa ndi University of Birmingham likukhulupirira kuti kuphatikiza sayansi, mfundo ndi njira zotsogozedwa ndi anthu amderalo zimathandizira kupanga zisankho zachilengedwe zomwe zimagwirizana bwino ndi zomwe zikuchitika mdera lanu.

Wolemba nawo wina Tahmina Yasmin, Wofufuza wa Postdoctoral ku yunivesite ya Birmingham, anati, "Vuto 'loipa' ndi vuto la chikhalidwe kapena chikhalidwe lomwe ndi lovuta kapena losatheka kulithetsa chifukwa cha chikhalidwe chake chovuta, chogwirizana. data yazanyengo ithandiza kuzindikira mbali zosadziwika za chithunzithunzi popanga machenjezo oyambilira.

"Kulumikizana bwino ndi anthu komanso kuwunika zomwe anthu omwe ali pachiwopsezo - mwachitsanzo, kukhazikika mosaloledwa m'mphepete mwa mitsinje kapena m'midzi - zidzathandiza omwe akuyendetsa galimoto kuti amvetsetse bwino kuopsa kwa kuopsa kwa hydrometeorological ndikukonzekera kuyankha kwa kusefukira ndi kuchepetsa zomwe zimathandizira madera. ndi chitetezo chokwanira. "

Ofufuzawa akuti kugwiritsa ntchito njira ya SMART kumathandiza opanga mfundo kuti athe kuwulula chiwopsezo cha anthu ammudzi pogwiritsa ntchito mfundo zofunika:

● S= Kumvetsetsana kwachiopsezo kuwonetsetsa kuti gulu lirilonse la anthu ammudzi likuimiridwa ndi njira zosiyanasiyana zosonkhanitsira deta.

● M= Kuyang'anira zoopsa ndikukhazikitsa njira zochenjeza zomwe zimakulitsa chidaliro ndi kusinthanitsa zidziwitso zowopsa - kuthandizira kusunga dongosolo lolosera.

● A= KumangaAchenjezo kudzera mu maphunziro ndi ntchito zopititsa patsogolo luso zomwe zimathandizira kumvetsetsa zanyengo yeniyeni komanso chidziwitso chazomwe zimachitika pakasefukira.

● RT= Kuwonetsa kukonzekeratuResponse zochitaTime ndi ndondomeko za kayendetsedwe ka masoka ndi zopulumutsira anthu potengera chenjezo lopangidwa ndi EWS.

David Hannah, Pulofesa wa Hydrology ndi Wapampando wa UNESCO mu Water Sciences ku yunivesite ya Birmingham, anati, "Kukulitsa chidaliro cha anthu m'mabungwe aboma ndi kulosera kwaukadaulo, pogwiritsa ntchito njira zotsogozedwa ndi anthu kuti asonkhanitse zidziwitso m'mapiri opanda deta. zigawo ndizofunikira kwambiri poteteza anthu omwe ali pachiwopsezo.

"Kugwiritsa ntchito njira iyi ya SMART kuti agwirizane ndi anthu kuti apange machitidwe ochenjeza oyambilira ophatikizika komanso owonetsetsa mosakayikira amathandizira kukulitsa luso, kusintha, ndi kulimba mtima poyang'anizana ndi madzi owopsa kwambiri, monga kusefukira kwamadzi ndi chilala, ndikuwonjezera kusatsimikizika pakusintha kwapadziko lonse lapansi."

Zambiri:Tahmina Yasmin et al, Kulankhulana Mwachidule: Kuphatikizika popanga njira yochenjeza yoyambira kusefukira kwamadzi, Zowopsa Zachilengedwe ndi Sayansi ya Earth System (2023).DOI: 10.5194/nhess-23-667-2023

Zoperekedwa ndiYunivesite ya Birmingham


Nthawi yotumiza: Apr-10-2023